Connect with us

Business

India’s Economic Slowdown Eases, but Goldman Sachs Warns of Lingering Market Volatility

As of March 25, 2025, India’s economy is showing signs of recovery after what many have called its toughest slowdown in years. According to a recent Goldman Sachs report highlighted by ANI News, the worst may be behind us—but don’t pop the champagne just yet. While the nation’s economic engine is revving up again, experts […]

Published

on

India’s Economic Slowdown Eases, but Goldman Sachs Warns of Lingering Market Volatility
This image is for representational purposes only

As of March 25, 2025, India’s economy is showing signs of recovery after what many have called its toughest slowdown in years. According to a recent Goldman Sachs report highlighted by ANI News, the worst may be behind us—but don’t pop the champagne just yet. While the nation’s economic engine is revving up again, experts caution that market volatility could stick around like an uninvited guest, keeping investors on edge.

A Light at the End of the Tunnel

For months, headlines have painted a grim picture of India’s economic landscape—sluggish growth, jittery markets, and a sense of unease among businesses and households alike. But Goldman Sachs, a global financial heavyweight, now says the tide is turning. The report, released on March 26, 2025, suggests that India’s economic slowdown has bottomed out, with key indicators pointing to a gradual rebound. Think of it as the moment the rain finally stops, and you can step outside without an umbrella—cautiously optimistic, but still checking the sky.

What’s driving this shift? For one, India’s resilience is shining through. Despite global headwinds like trade tensions and fluctuating commodity prices, the country’s domestic consumption and agricultural sectors are holding strong, acting as pillars of stability. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) echoed this sentiment earlier this month, noting that consumer spending and rural demand are picking up steam. It’s not a full-on sprint to prosperity, but it’s a steady jog in the right direction.

Volatility: The Unpredictable Guest

Here’s the catch: while the economy might be stabilizing, the financial markets are still doing a bit of a roller coaster dance. Goldman Sachs warns that volatility isn’t going anywhere soon. Why? Global uncertainties—like U.S. tariff threats and geopolitical tensions—are casting long shadows. Closer to home, foreign investors have been pulling funds out since October, sending the Sensex and Nifty into a tailspin from their all-time highs. It’s like trying to enjoy a picnic while the wind keeps blowing your napkins away—frustrating and hard to ignore.

For everyday investors, this means a bumpy ride ahead. Small-cap stocks, once the darlings of the market, have taken a beating, and even blue-chip companies aren’t immune. Analysts suggest that while the long-term outlook for India remains solid, the short-term could feel like navigating a stormy sea. “Volatility persists,” the Goldman Sachs report notes, urging caution for those hoping for a quick market recovery.

What’s Next for India’s Economy?

So, where does this leave us? For the average Indian—whether you’re a farmer in Punjab, a tech worker in Bengaluru, or a shopkeeper in Mumbai—the news is bittersweet. The economy is clawing its way back, which could mean more jobs, better wages, and a little extra cash in your pocket down the line. But if you’ve got money in the stock market, you might want to buckle up and keep an eye on those global headlines.

Goldman Sachs isn’t alone in its mixed outlook. Other experts, like those at Moody’s Ratings, predict India’s growth could top 6.5% in the next fiscal year, fueled by government spending and a rebound in private investment. Yet, they too nod to the “global uncertainty” that could throw a wrench in the works. It’s a classic case of two steps forward, one step back—progress, but with a side of caution.

Navigating the Road Ahead

For now, India stands at a crossroads. The worst of the economic slowdown may be over, but the path to stability isn’t a straight line. Families and businesses alike are watching closely, hoping the recovery takes root while bracing for market swings. As one market analyst put it, “India’s got the fundamentals to shine, but the world’s a messy place right now.”

If you’re an investor or just someone trying to make sense of it all, the takeaway is simple: there’s hope on the horizon, but don’t bet the farm just yet. Keep your eyes peeled for updates—whether it’s the next RBI report or the latest twist in global trade talks. India’s economic story is far from over, and the next chapter promises to be anything but dull.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech: Why the IT stocks’ correction gathers no moss

TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech: Why the IT stocks’ correction gathers no moss
With the Nifty 50 scaling 25,000 on Friday and continuing its journey of recouping lost ground from its September 2024 peak, investors in major IT stocks continue to watch from behind. In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50 per cent.
In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50%.

Published on June 7, 2025

It’s all relative

Following this, investors would be tempted to think ‘is the correction over?’ While there has been a severe timewise correction in stocks, unfortunately by one metric they are in their most expensive zone in the last 10 years! This may continue to weigh on shareholder returns.Companies to followNot just TCS, but for its major contemporaries as well — Infosys, Wipro and HCLTech — the period FY24-27 will rank amongst their worst three-year period in terms of growth. In this context, with bond yields globally on the rise and providing attractive yields, it might make FPIs look past these stocks.

The charts compare the bond-equity yield spread for the IT stocks from the perspective of a foreign investor, which is the stock’s earnings yield minus the US 10-year bond yield, for the last 10 years. By this measure although stock valuations (barring HCLTech) have corrected significantly from highs, the irony is that on a relative basis they are hovering around their most expensive levels in the last 10 years.

Hunger for growth

Take TCS – its PE today is bang where it was 10 years back, yet when compared to other investible options from an FPI perspective it is unattractive versus 10 years back. Not only this, equally on the unfavourable side is its growth prospects today. In FY2015, TCS delivered constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 17 per cent — that alone on its own sufficiently justified a 25x PE, leaving apart the attractive bond-equity yield spread. To the contrary, its CC revenue growth in FY25 was just 4.2 per cent.The period since GFC triggered the phase of global investor’s hunger for yields as interest rates in developed markets dropped to near zero or even negative levels. Compared to a 10-year government bonds yielding 0 to 2 per cent, even stocks with PE of 30 times or earnings yield (1/PE) of 3.3 per cent (generally viewed expensive in the pre GFC era) suddenly appeared attractive. As long as the earnings yield was above the government bond yield, and it also came with decent and consistent earnings growth, such stocks found strong favour. IT stocks neatly fitted into this spot.As compared to hunger for yields in the era of low interest rates, global investors are now hungry for growth. High payout ratios — like those seen in IT majors that distribute most of their profits to shareholders instead of reinvesting for growth in new businesses — worked well earlier, but may now put pressure on these companies.Investors will be willing to buy stocks/indices with low or negative bond-equity yield spread if the growth prospects are bright, but currently that is missing for IT majors.

Published

on

TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech: Why the IT stocks’ correction gathers no moss

TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech: Why the IT stocks’ correction gathers no moss
Not just TCS, but for its major contemporaries as well — Infosys, Wipro and HCLTech — the period FY24-27 will rank amongst their worst three-year period in terms of growth. In this context, with bond yields globally on the rise and providing attractive yields, it might make FPIs look past these stocks.
In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50%.

Following this, investors would be tempted to think ‘is the correction over?’ While there has been a severe timewise correction in stocks, unfortunately by one metric they are in their most expensive zone in the last 10 years! This may continue to weigh on shareholder returns.

It’s all relative

As their core IT services business faces competition from GCCs, mid-cap IT players and, more importantly, AI-related disruption, growth may remain lacklustre. Slow growth for three consecutive years may also reflect structural changes beyond cyclical factors.Published on June 7, 2025 Take TCS – its PE today is bang where it was 10 years back, yet when compared to other investible options from an FPI perspective it is unattractive versus 10 years back. Not only this, equally on the unfavourable side is its growth prospects today. In FY2015, TCS delivered constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 17 per cent — that alone on its own sufficiently justified a 25x PE, leaving apart the attractive bond-equity yield spread. To the contrary, its CC revenue growth in FY25 was just 4.2 per cent.

Companies to follow

Hunger for growth

As compared to hunger for yields in the era of low interest rates, global investors are now hungry for growth. High payout ratios — like those seen in IT majors that distribute most of their profits to shareholders instead of reinvesting for growth in new businesses — worked well earlier, but may now put pressure on these companies.The period since GFC triggered the phase of global investor’s hunger for yields as interest rates in developed markets dropped to near zero or even negative levels. Compared to a 10-year government bonds yielding 0 to 2 per cent, even stocks with PE of 30 times or earnings yield (1/PE) of 3.3 per cent (generally viewed expensive in the pre GFC era) suddenly appeared attractive. As long as the earnings yield was above the government bond yield, and it also came with decent and consistent earnings growth, such stocks found strong favour. IT stocks neatly fitted into this spot.Investors will be willing to buy stocks/indices with low or negative bond-equity yield spread if the growth prospects are bright, but currently that is missing for IT majors.With the Nifty 50 scaling 25,000 on Friday and continuing its journey of recouping lost ground from its September 2024 peak, investors in major IT stocks continue to watch from behind. In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50 per cent.

Continue Reading

Business

Volkswagen Golf GTI: Redemption 

Volkswagen Golf GTI: Redemption 
There’s no doubt that Volkswagen has been at the top of its hot hatchback game, and we’re pleased to report that the Golf GTI is unchanged for the Indian market. It’s powered by the EA888 2-litre turbocharged petrol engine, which makes 261 bhp and 37.7 kg-m. It powers the front wheels via a 7-speed dual-clutch automatic gearbox and an electronically controlled limited-slip diff. 
The cabin isn’t bad, either. A 12.9-inch touchscreen infotainment system is the centrepiece, but it’s programmed to be more than just a large screen on the centre console. Essential features like ESC can be accessed through quick-toggle menus, and while it gives you enough screen real estate for Android Auto and Apple CarPlay, it has permanently placed icons, ensuring you don’t struggle with menus. Both volume sliders and temperature controls are touch-sensitive sliders below the screen. The front cloth seats, albeit a great homage to the first GTI, can feel a bit too tight for some drivers, and with the front seat set according to my height, the rear legroom was substantially reduced. Volkswagen remains a dominant force in the hotchback segment

You won’t be bothered about any of that the moment you set out for your drive. We had access to the NATRAX test centre near Indore for this drive — including the 11.3 km high-speed circuit — and the GTI showed its true colours. The car epitomises flexibility; you can hoon it around a racetrack, and, without making any mechanical changes, drive it to work like nothing happened, and the car will quite obediently follow your lead. The sleek exterior design draws your attention quickly and is also well-proportioned, but not without great hints of aggression, making the car’s purpose quite evident. There are four exterior colours to choose from, its 18-inch alloy wheels are standard, and there’s no dearth of ‘GTI’ badges. An illuminated strip joins the two headlights, making the Golf GTI ever so slightly more dramatic when it gets dark outside. This is further complemented by an illuminated VW logo, while the trademark red strip across the front, the five-pod fog lights, and the fang-like elements on the lower grille work in tandem to ensure that the GTI’s is a face you wouldn’t forget. 
The 12.9-inch touchscreen is the centerpiece — more than just a big display, it’s smartly integrated for enhanced functionality
| Photo Credit: Kaizad Adil Darukhanawala 

The 12.9-inch touchscreen is the centerpiece — more than just a big display, it’s smartly integrated for enhanced functionalityStart the car in sport mode, and the exhaust has a mild rumble (which isn’t too intrusive), but as revs climb, the engine noise becomes more characterful, and it even emits pops without needing a ‘pops and bangs’ tune from your friendly tuner. The chassis, too, is remarkable, again signifying the Golf GTI’s flexibility. It doesn’t get adaptive dampers, but despite that, the ride is comfortable. In the handling department, the Golf scores quite well. Its nose is eager to follow your steering input although the steering itself feels a bit numb. You can fully deactivate the car’s stability control, but I found that ESC Sport allowed me to push the car without intervening. My only gripe is that while the automatic gearbox is quick to shift, both by itself or when you operate it using the paddle shifters, a car like this deserves to be specced with a manual gearbox. 

Balanced dynamics

© Motoring WorldNearly a decade ago, Volkswagen India did the unthinkable. It brought to our market a car that seemed impractical, had fewer doors, and was about four times as expensive as the one it was based on. Despite that, it found many takers, quickly helping it attain a legendary status — so much so that used examples show nearly no signs of depreciation, even a decade later. That was the Volkswagen Polo GTI, and now, nine years later, Volkswagen has brought out another GTI; this time, a more powerful and definitely more focussed one. It is the Mk 8.5 Golf GTI, a front-wheel drive hatchback whose badge is considered synonymous with ‘hot hatch’. We take it out for a drive to understand what the fuss is aboutPublished on June 6, 2025 I’ve always adored the Golf GTI, and I’m certain there are many out there who share the same sentiment. Priced at ₹53 lakh, ex-showroom, the Golf GTI isn’t going to be within everyone’s reach, but you know what, if you’ve wanted one badly (and have the means), you would have booked it already. The first lot of 150 cars coming to India is sold out already, which proves my point. 

Published

on

Volkswagen Golf GTI: Redemption 

Volkswagen Golf GTI: Redemption 
Nearly a decade ago, Volkswagen India did the unthinkable. It brought to our market a car that seemed impractical, had fewer doors, and was about four times as expensive as the one it was based on. Despite that, it found many takers, quickly helping it attain a legendary status — so much so that used examples show nearly no signs of depreciation, even a decade later. That was the Volkswagen Polo GTI, and now, nine years later, Volkswagen has brought out another GTI; this time, a more powerful and definitely more focussed one. It is the Mk 8.5 Golf GTI, a front-wheel drive hatchback whose badge is considered synonymous with ‘hot hatch’. We take it out for a drive to understand what the fuss is about
The cabin isn’t bad, either. A 12.9-inch touchscreen infotainment system is the centrepiece, but it’s programmed to be more than just a large screen on the centre console. Essential features like ESC can be accessed through quick-toggle menus, and while it gives you enough screen real estate for Android Auto and Apple CarPlay, it has permanently placed icons, ensuring you don’t struggle with menus. Both volume sliders and temperature controls are touch-sensitive sliders below the screen. The front cloth seats, albeit a great homage to the first GTI, can feel a bit too tight for some drivers, and with the front seat set according to my height, the rear legroom was substantially reduced. Published on June 6, 2025

Sleek design

© Motoring World
The 12.9-inch touchscreen is the centerpiece — more than just a big display, it’s smartly integrated for enhanced functionality
| Photo Credit: Kaizad Adil Darukhanawala 
Volkswagen remains a dominant force in the hotchback segment

I’ve always adored the Golf GTI, and I’m certain there are many out there who share the same sentiment. Priced at ₹53 lakh, ex-showroom, the Golf GTI isn’t going to be within everyone’s reach, but you know what, if you’ve wanted one badly (and have the means), you would have booked it already. The first lot of 150 cars coming to India is sold out already, which proves my point. 

Balanced dynamics

There’s no doubt that Volkswagen has been at the top of its hot hatchback game, and we’re pleased to report that the Golf GTI is unchanged for the Indian market. It’s powered by the EA888 2-litre turbocharged petrol engine, which makes 261 bhp and 37.7 kg-m. It powers the front wheels via a 7-speed dual-clutch automatic gearbox and an electronically controlled limited-slip diff. The sleek exterior design draws your attention quickly and is also well-proportioned, but not without great hints of aggression, making the car’s purpose quite evident. There are four exterior colours to choose from, its 18-inch alloy wheels are standard, and there’s no dearth of ‘GTI’ badges. An illuminated strip joins the two headlights, making the Golf GTI ever so slightly more dramatic when it gets dark outside. This is further complemented by an illuminated VW logo, while the trademark red strip across the front, the five-pod fog lights, and the fang-like elements on the lower grille work in tandem to ensure that the GTI’s is a face you wouldn’t forget. Start the car in sport mode, and the exhaust has a mild rumble (which isn’t too intrusive), but as revs climb, the engine noise becomes more characterful, and it even emits pops without needing a ‘pops and bangs’ tune from your friendly tuner. The chassis, too, is remarkable, again signifying the Golf GTI’s flexibility. It doesn’t get adaptive dampers, but despite that, the ride is comfortable. In the handling department, the Golf scores quite well. Its nose is eager to follow your steering input although the steering itself feels a bit numb. You can fully deactivate the car’s stability control, but I found that ESC Sport allowed me to push the car without intervening. My only gripe is that while the automatic gearbox is quick to shift, both by itself or when you operate it using the paddle shifters, a car like this deserves to be specced with a manual gearbox. You won’t be bothered about any of that the moment you set out for your drive. We had access to the NATRAX test centre near Indore for this drive — including the 11.3 km high-speed circuit — and the GTI showed its true colours. The car epitomises flexibility; you can hoon it around a racetrack, and, without making any mechanical changes, drive it to work like nothing happened, and the car will quite obediently follow your lead. 

Continue Reading

Business

Bengaluru RCB stampede fallout: Govt suspends top cops, orders CID probe

Bengaluru RCB stampede fallout: Govt suspends top cops, orders CID probe
In the wake of the stampede incident in Bengaluru on Wednesday during the RCB victory celebrations—which resulted in the deaths of 11 people, including a 14-year-old, and left 50 injured, the Karnataka Cabinet has taken several disciplinary and legal actions.
 A stampede during RCB’s victory celebrations in Bengaluru claimed 11 lives, including a minor, and injured 50 others. 

Published on June 5, 2025 A Magisterial inquiry has been initiated, with the Deputy Commissioner of Bengaluru Urban District appointed as the inquiry officer, and the report is expected within 15 days, according to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah, who posted the update on X. As per the order issued yesterday, the Cabinet discussed the matter after preliminary details of the tragedy emerged, and the investigation against the three organisations involved has been handed over to the CID.Earlier today, the BJP criticised the state government and demanded the resignation of Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and Deputy CM D.K. Shivakumar. Karnataka BJP President B.Y. Vijayendra called the celebration “inhumane” and held the state government fully responsible for the tragedy. “The lack of anticipation for lakhs of people is an admission of failure on their part. The CM tried to escape accountability by saying the stampede only occurred at Chinnaswamy Stadium,” he said.Meanwhile, RCB announced a compensation of ₹10 lakh each for the families of the deceased on Thursday. The franchise also set up a fund called ‘RCB Cares’ to support fans injured in the incident. The Karnataka government had already announced ₹10 lakh compensation and committed to bearing the full medical expenses of those injured.Speaking to the media at a press conference after the emergency Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Chief Minister Siddaramaiah said that a one-member commission has been constituted under the leadership of retired High Court judge Justice Michael Cunha. Legal action has also been initiated against representatives of three entities—RCB, event organisers DNA, and the Karnataka State Cricket Association (KSCA). An FIR has been registered, and directions have been issued to arrest those responsible.The government has suspended the Police Inspector of Cubbon Park Police Station, the Assistant Commissioner of Police (ACP) of the area, the Central Deputy Commissioner of Police (DCP), the Additional Police Commissioner in charge of the stadium, and the Bengaluru City Police Commissioner, with immediate effect.

Published

on

Bengaluru RCB stampede fallout: Govt suspends top cops, orders CID probe

Bengaluru RCB stampede fallout: Govt suspends top cops, orders CID probe
In the wake of the stampede incident in Bengaluru on Wednesday during the RCB victory celebrations—which resulted in the deaths of 11 people, including a 14-year-old, and left 50 injured, the Karnataka Cabinet has taken several disciplinary and legal actions.
Meanwhile, RCB announced a compensation of ₹10 lakh each for the families of the deceased on Thursday. The franchise also set up a fund called ‘RCB Cares’ to support fans injured in the incident. The Karnataka government had already announced ₹10 lakh compensation and committed to bearing the full medical expenses of those injured.Speaking to the media at a press conference after the emergency Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Chief Minister Siddaramaiah said that a one-member commission has been constituted under the leadership of retired High Court judge Justice Michael Cunha. Legal action has also been initiated against representatives of three entities—RCB, event organisers DNA, and the Karnataka State Cricket Association (KSCA). An FIR has been registered, and directions have been issued to arrest those responsible.A Magisterial inquiry has been initiated, with the Deputy Commissioner of Bengaluru Urban District appointed as the inquiry officer, and the report is expected within 15 days, according to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah, who posted the update on X. As per the order issued yesterday, the Cabinet discussed the matter after preliminary details of the tragedy emerged, and the investigation against the three organisations involved has been handed over to the CID.Published on June 5, 2025 Earlier today, the BJP criticised the state government and demanded the resignation of Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and Deputy CM D.K. Shivakumar. Karnataka BJP President B.Y. Vijayendra called the celebration “inhumane” and held the state government fully responsible for the tragedy. “The lack of anticipation for lakhs of people is an admission of failure on their part. The CM tried to escape accountability by saying the stampede only occurred at Chinnaswamy Stadium,” he said. A stampede during RCB’s victory celebrations in Bengaluru claimed 11 lives, including a minor, and injured 50 others. 

The government has suspended the Police Inspector of Cubbon Park Police Station, the Assistant Commissioner of Police (ACP) of the area, the Central Deputy Commissioner of Police (DCP), the Additional Police Commissioner in charge of the stadium, and the Bengaluru City Police Commissioner, with immediate effect.

Continue Reading

Trending