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The dollar is set to maintain its dominance.

But yes, this could hurt. Despite Trump, China also doesn’t enjoy the trust that the US enjoys — which Trump might be destroying. Published on April 13, 2025 And the dollar remained invincible. That’s the point to grasp.To fix the European problem Richard Nixon, a Republican president, went off the gold standard in 1971. By […]

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The dollar is set to maintain its dominance.

But yes, this could hurt. Despite Trump, China also doesn’t enjoy the trust that the US enjoys — which Trump might be destroying.

Published on April 13, 2025 And the dollar remained invincible. That’s the point to grasp.To fix the European problem Richard Nixon, a Republican president, went off the gold standard in 1971. By the mid-1970s Europe had lost its advantage which it still has not recovered.The only difference is that it was Europe and Japan which were the villains then and it’s China that’s the villain now. Europe exported more to the US between 1950 and 1970 than it imported — it still does — and found itself with a massive cache of dollars, called Eurodollars. Japan between 1970 and 1990 did the same and also accumulated huge reserves.Even in the 1970s, after America had refused to honour its pledge to give a troy ounce of gold for , there had been the same squeals of indignation and forecasts of apocalypse. All that happened was volatility in the financial markets and petrodollars replaced the Eurodollars. That’s when the Middle East became rich.

All things considered China doesn’t have the ‘comprehensive power’ depth that’s needed to take on the US. I think the deal Trump will offer is that the Pacific is yours but that’s all you get. Agree, and I will reduce tariffs to 10 per cent.Donald Trump’s trade policy has drawn two types of comments. One deserves to be rejected and the other requires closer scrutiny.In their place came China as the leading exporter to the US. Like Europe between 1950-70 and Japan between 1955-85 it, too, was facilitated by the US. So the idea that Trump doesn’t want the dollar to be the reserve currency by engineering a trade surplus for America is completely ludicrous. It could and has depreciated. But that’s temporary. By 1992, just as the the Europeans had bitten the dust by 1980, the Japanese economy also went into a stagnant phase. Neither Europe nor Japan have recovered even now.

The comments to be rejected are politically inspired, that he is trying to manipulate the financial markets so that someone can make money.

This is plain silly. His close friend Elon Musk has actually lost more than billion.International economics bloomed. Many papers and books were written. Some economists even won the ‘Nobel’ prize. But when all the commercial and academic dust had settled down, there the dollar was, as the safe haven currency of the world.

The other set of comments is about economics, that Trump is trying to devalue the dollar so that American exports become competitive. The simple answer to this is that a global reserve currency is, by definition, one that requires trade deficits.In 1985, Ronald Reagan, another Republican president, forced two things on Japan. He ‘persuaded’ the Japanese to accept voluntary export restraints to limit the numbers of Japanese food entering the US.

The other thing was known as the Plaza Accord that ‘persuaded’ Japan to revalue its currency vis-a-vis the dollar.We in India, meanwhile, should be wondering, like Kalia in Sholay, what’s going to be our fate. “Ab tera kya hoga, Kaliye”.In the end, the point is this: if you had to choose between America and China, who would you choose? And that’s the trillion dollar question: the Communist Party of China or America?Public memory may be short but I had thought economists would have somewhat longer memories. But apparently not, because they have forgotten what happened in the four decades from 1950 to 1990.The simple truth is this: what’s happening now is a replay of those years, namely, huge American budget and trade deficits accompanied by massive accumulation of dollars outside American control.

US or China?

A legitimate question today is if America has the same leverage with China as it did with Europe and Japan because it provided military security to both. And the obvious answer is no. China is a military adversary.When the US whipped them, Europeans responded by expanding their economic union both in trade and monetarily. The EU and the euro were the result eventually. The Japanese didn’t even try. They just rolled over.It then bit the hand that fed it. So now it is its turn to be hit. But will history repeat itself a third time? We will have to wait and see.What can China do? It has tried RCEP, an Asian trading block. It has tried an Asian infrastructure investment bank. It has tried to promote the yuan as the global reserve currency, directly and via BRICS. It’s pretending it’s on a par with the US on technology — via memes. It will blackmail the US via its control of rare earths but that control has now reduced.

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TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech: Why the IT stocks’ correction gathers no moss

With the Nifty 50 scaling 25,000 on Friday and continuing its journey of recouping lost ground from its September 2024 peak, investors in major IT stocks continue to watch from behind. In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50 per cent.

Published on June 7, 2025

It’s all relative

Following this, investors would be tempted to think ‘is the correction over?’ While there has been a severe timewise correction in stocks, unfortunately by one metric they are in their most expensive zone in the last 10 years! This may continue to weigh on shareholder returns.Companies to followNot just TCS, but for its major contemporaries as well — Infosys, Wipro and HCLTech — the period FY24-27 will rank amongst their worst three-year period in terms of growth. In this context, with bond yields globally on the rise and providing attractive yields, it might make FPIs look past these stocks.

The charts compare the bond-equity yield spread for the IT stocks from the perspective of a foreign investor, which is the stock’s earnings yield minus the US 10-year bond yield, for the last 10 years. By this measure although stock valuations (barring HCLTech) have corrected significantly from highs, the irony is that on a relative basis they are hovering around their most expensive levels in the last 10 years.

Hunger for growth

Take TCS – its PE today is bang where it was 10 years back, yet when compared to other investible options from an FPI perspective it is unattractive versus 10 years back. Not only this, equally on the unfavourable side is its growth prospects today. In FY2015, TCS delivered constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 17 per cent — that alone on its own sufficiently justified a 25x PE, leaving apart the attractive bond-equity yield spread. To the contrary, its CC revenue growth in FY25 was just 4.2 per cent.The period since GFC triggered the phase of global investor’s hunger for yields as interest rates in developed markets dropped to near zero or even negative levels. Compared to a 10-year government bonds yielding 0 to 2 per cent, even stocks with PE of 30 times or earnings yield (1/PE) of 3.3 per cent (generally viewed expensive in the pre GFC era) suddenly appeared attractive. As long as the earnings yield was above the government bond yield, and it also came with decent and consistent earnings growth, such stocks found strong favour. IT stocks neatly fitted into this spot.As compared to hunger for yields in the era of low interest rates, global investors are now hungry for growth. High payout ratios — like those seen in IT majors that distribute most of their profits to shareholders instead of reinvesting for growth in new businesses — worked well earlier, but may now put pressure on these companies.Investors will be willing to buy stocks/indices with low or negative bond-equity yield spread if the growth prospects are bright, but currently that is missing for IT majors.

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Not just TCS, but for its major contemporaries as well — Infosys, Wipro and HCLTech — the period FY24-27 will rank amongst their worst three-year period in terms of growth. In this context, with bond yields globally on the rise and providing attractive yields, it might make FPIs look past these stocks.

Following this, investors would be tempted to think ‘is the correction over?’ While there has been a severe timewise correction in stocks, unfortunately by one metric they are in their most expensive zone in the last 10 years! This may continue to weigh on shareholder returns.

It’s all relative

As their core IT services business faces competition from GCCs, mid-cap IT players and, more importantly, AI-related disruption, growth may remain lacklustre. Slow growth for three consecutive years may also reflect structural changes beyond cyclical factors.Published on June 7, 2025 Take TCS – its PE today is bang where it was 10 years back, yet when compared to other investible options from an FPI perspective it is unattractive versus 10 years back. Not only this, equally on the unfavourable side is its growth prospects today. In FY2015, TCS delivered constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 17 per cent — that alone on its own sufficiently justified a 25x PE, leaving apart the attractive bond-equity yield spread. To the contrary, its CC revenue growth in FY25 was just 4.2 per cent.

Companies to follow

Hunger for growth

As compared to hunger for yields in the era of low interest rates, global investors are now hungry for growth. High payout ratios — like those seen in IT majors that distribute most of their profits to shareholders instead of reinvesting for growth in new businesses — worked well earlier, but may now put pressure on these companies.The period since GFC triggered the phase of global investor’s hunger for yields as interest rates in developed markets dropped to near zero or even negative levels. Compared to a 10-year government bonds yielding 0 to 2 per cent, even stocks with PE of 30 times or earnings yield (1/PE) of 3.3 per cent (generally viewed expensive in the pre GFC era) suddenly appeared attractive. As long as the earnings yield was above the government bond yield, and it also came with decent and consistent earnings growth, such stocks found strong favour. IT stocks neatly fitted into this spot.Investors will be willing to buy stocks/indices with low or negative bond-equity yield spread if the growth prospects are bright, but currently that is missing for IT majors.With the Nifty 50 scaling 25,000 on Friday and continuing its journey of recouping lost ground from its September 2024 peak, investors in major IT stocks continue to watch from behind. In the last three years, every time the stocks of IT majors — TCS, Infosys, Wipro — have risen, they have done so only to fall again such that their returns are largely flat in this period while the Nifty has zoomed 50 per cent.

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Volkswagen Golf GTI: Redemption 

There’s no doubt that Volkswagen has been at the top of its hot hatchback game, and we’re pleased to report that the Golf GTI is unchanged for the Indian market. It’s powered by the EA888 2-litre turbocharged petrol engine, which makes 261 bhp and 37.7 kg-m. It powers the front wheels via a 7-speed dual-clutch automatic gearbox and an electronically controlled limited-slip diff. 
The cabin isn’t bad, either. A 12.9-inch touchscreen infotainment system is the centrepiece, but it’s programmed to be more than just a large screen on the centre console. Essential features like ESC can be accessed through quick-toggle menus, and while it gives you enough screen real estate for Android Auto and Apple CarPlay, it has permanently placed icons, ensuring you don’t struggle with menus. Both volume sliders and temperature controls are touch-sensitive sliders below the screen. The front cloth seats, albeit a great homage to the first GTI, can feel a bit too tight for some drivers, and with the front seat set according to my height, the rear legroom was substantially reduced. 

You won’t be bothered about any of that the moment you set out for your drive. We had access to the NATRAX test centre near Indore for this drive — including the 11.3 km high-speed circuit — and the GTI showed its true colours. The car epitomises flexibility; you can hoon it around a racetrack, and, without making any mechanical changes, drive it to work like nothing happened, and the car will quite obediently follow your lead. The sleek exterior design draws your attention quickly and is also well-proportioned, but not without great hints of aggression, making the car’s purpose quite evident. There are four exterior colours to choose from, its 18-inch alloy wheels are standard, and there’s no dearth of ‘GTI’ badges. An illuminated strip joins the two headlights, making the Golf GTI ever so slightly more dramatic when it gets dark outside. This is further complemented by an illuminated VW logo, while the trademark red strip across the front, the five-pod fog lights, and the fang-like elements on the lower grille work in tandem to ensure that the GTI’s is a face you wouldn’t forget. 
The 12.9-inch touchscreen is the centerpiece — more than just a big display, it’s smartly integrated for enhanced functionality
| Photo Credit: Kaizad Adil Darukhanawala 

Start the car in sport mode, and the exhaust has a mild rumble (which isn’t too intrusive), but as revs climb, the engine noise becomes more characterful, and it even emits pops without needing a ‘pops and bangs’ tune from your friendly tuner. The chassis, too, is remarkable, again signifying the Golf GTI’s flexibility. It doesn’t get adaptive dampers, but despite that, the ride is comfortable. In the handling department, the Golf scores quite well. Its nose is eager to follow your steering input although the steering itself feels a bit numb. You can fully deactivate the car’s stability control, but I found that ESC Sport allowed me to push the car without intervening. My only gripe is that while the automatic gearbox is quick to shift, both by itself or when you operate it using the paddle shifters, a car like this deserves to be specced with a manual gearbox. 

Balanced dynamics

© Motoring WorldNearly a decade ago, Volkswagen India did the unthinkable. It brought to our market a car that seemed impractical, had fewer doors, and was about four times as expensive as the one it was based on. Despite that, it found many takers, quickly helping it attain a legendary status — so much so that used examples show nearly no signs of depreciation, even a decade later. That was the Volkswagen Polo GTI, and now, nine years later, Volkswagen has brought out another GTI; this time, a more powerful and definitely more focussed one. It is the Mk 8.5 Golf GTI, a front-wheel drive hatchback whose badge is considered synonymous with ‘hot hatch’. We take it out for a drive to understand what the fuss is aboutPublished on June 6, 2025 I’ve always adored the Golf GTI, and I’m certain there are many out there who share the same sentiment. Priced at ₹53 lakh, ex-showroom, the Golf GTI isn’t going to be within everyone’s reach, but you know what, if you’ve wanted one badly (and have the means), you would have booked it already. The first lot of 150 cars coming to India is sold out already, which proves my point. 

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Nearly a decade ago, Volkswagen India did the unthinkable. It brought to our market a car that seemed impractical, had fewer doors, and was about four times as expensive as the one it was based on. Despite that, it found many takers, quickly helping it attain a legendary status — so much so that used examples show nearly no signs of depreciation, even a decade later. That was the Volkswagen Polo GTI, and now, nine years later, Volkswagen has brought out another GTI; this time, a more powerful and definitely more focussed one. It is the Mk 8.5 Golf GTI, a front-wheel drive hatchback whose badge is considered synonymous with ‘hot hatch’. We take it out for a drive to understand what the fuss is about
The cabin isn’t bad, either. A 12.9-inch touchscreen infotainment system is the centrepiece, but it’s programmed to be more than just a large screen on the centre console. Essential features like ESC can be accessed through quick-toggle menus, and while it gives you enough screen real estate for Android Auto and Apple CarPlay, it has permanently placed icons, ensuring you don’t struggle with menus. Both volume sliders and temperature controls are touch-sensitive sliders below the screen. The front cloth seats, albeit a great homage to the first GTI, can feel a bit too tight for some drivers, and with the front seat set according to my height, the rear legroom was substantially reduced. Published on June 6, 2025

Sleek design

© Motoring World
The 12.9-inch touchscreen is the centerpiece — more than just a big display, it’s smartly integrated for enhanced functionality
| Photo Credit: Kaizad Adil Darukhanawala 

I’ve always adored the Golf GTI, and I’m certain there are many out there who share the same sentiment. Priced at ₹53 lakh, ex-showroom, the Golf GTI isn’t going to be within everyone’s reach, but you know what, if you’ve wanted one badly (and have the means), you would have booked it already. The first lot of 150 cars coming to India is sold out already, which proves my point. 

Balanced dynamics

There’s no doubt that Volkswagen has been at the top of its hot hatchback game, and we’re pleased to report that the Golf GTI is unchanged for the Indian market. It’s powered by the EA888 2-litre turbocharged petrol engine, which makes 261 bhp and 37.7 kg-m. It powers the front wheels via a 7-speed dual-clutch automatic gearbox and an electronically controlled limited-slip diff. The sleek exterior design draws your attention quickly and is also well-proportioned, but not without great hints of aggression, making the car’s purpose quite evident. There are four exterior colours to choose from, its 18-inch alloy wheels are standard, and there’s no dearth of ‘GTI’ badges. An illuminated strip joins the two headlights, making the Golf GTI ever so slightly more dramatic when it gets dark outside. This is further complemented by an illuminated VW logo, while the trademark red strip across the front, the five-pod fog lights, and the fang-like elements on the lower grille work in tandem to ensure that the GTI’s is a face you wouldn’t forget. Start the car in sport mode, and the exhaust has a mild rumble (which isn’t too intrusive), but as revs climb, the engine noise becomes more characterful, and it even emits pops without needing a ‘pops and bangs’ tune from your friendly tuner. The chassis, too, is remarkable, again signifying the Golf GTI’s flexibility. It doesn’t get adaptive dampers, but despite that, the ride is comfortable. In the handling department, the Golf scores quite well. Its nose is eager to follow your steering input although the steering itself feels a bit numb. You can fully deactivate the car’s stability control, but I found that ESC Sport allowed me to push the car without intervening. My only gripe is that while the automatic gearbox is quick to shift, both by itself or when you operate it using the paddle shifters, a car like this deserves to be specced with a manual gearbox. You won’t be bothered about any of that the moment you set out for your drive. We had access to the NATRAX test centre near Indore for this drive — including the 11.3 km high-speed circuit — and the GTI showed its true colours. The car epitomises flexibility; you can hoon it around a racetrack, and, without making any mechanical changes, drive it to work like nothing happened, and the car will quite obediently follow your lead. 

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Bengaluru RCB stampede fallout: Govt suspends top cops, orders CID probe

In the wake of the stampede incident in Bengaluru on Wednesday during the RCB victory celebrations—which resulted in the deaths of 11 people, including a 14-year-old, and left 50 injured, the Karnataka Cabinet has taken several disciplinary and legal actions.

Published on June 5, 2025 A Magisterial inquiry has been initiated, with the Deputy Commissioner of Bengaluru Urban District appointed as the inquiry officer, and the report is expected within 15 days, according to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah, who posted the update on X. As per the order issued yesterday, the Cabinet discussed the matter after preliminary details of the tragedy emerged, and the investigation against the three organisations involved has been handed over to the CID.Earlier today, the BJP criticised the state government and demanded the resignation of Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and Deputy CM D.K. Shivakumar. Karnataka BJP President B.Y. Vijayendra called the celebration “inhumane” and held the state government fully responsible for the tragedy. “The lack of anticipation for lakhs of people is an admission of failure on their part. The CM tried to escape accountability by saying the stampede only occurred at Chinnaswamy Stadium,” he said.Meanwhile, RCB announced a compensation of ₹10 lakh each for the families of the deceased on Thursday. The franchise also set up a fund called ‘RCB Cares’ to support fans injured in the incident. The Karnataka government had already announced ₹10 lakh compensation and committed to bearing the full medical expenses of those injured.Speaking to the media at a press conference after the emergency Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Chief Minister Siddaramaiah said that a one-member commission has been constituted under the leadership of retired High Court judge Justice Michael Cunha. Legal action has also been initiated against representatives of three entities—RCB, event organisers DNA, and the Karnataka State Cricket Association (KSCA). An FIR has been registered, and directions have been issued to arrest those responsible.The government has suspended the Police Inspector of Cubbon Park Police Station, the Assistant Commissioner of Police (ACP) of the area, the Central Deputy Commissioner of Police (DCP), the Additional Police Commissioner in charge of the stadium, and the Bengaluru City Police Commissioner, with immediate effect.

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In the wake of the stampede incident in Bengaluru on Wednesday during the RCB victory celebrations—which resulted in the deaths of 11 people, including a 14-year-old, and left 50 injured, the Karnataka Cabinet has taken several disciplinary and legal actions.
Meanwhile, RCB announced a compensation of ₹10 lakh each for the families of the deceased on Thursday. The franchise also set up a fund called ‘RCB Cares’ to support fans injured in the incident. The Karnataka government had already announced ₹10 lakh compensation and committed to bearing the full medical expenses of those injured.Speaking to the media at a press conference after the emergency Cabinet meeting on Thursday, Chief Minister Siddaramaiah said that a one-member commission has been constituted under the leadership of retired High Court judge Justice Michael Cunha. Legal action has also been initiated against representatives of three entities—RCB, event organisers DNA, and the Karnataka State Cricket Association (KSCA). An FIR has been registered, and directions have been issued to arrest those responsible.A Magisterial inquiry has been initiated, with the Deputy Commissioner of Bengaluru Urban District appointed as the inquiry officer, and the report is expected within 15 days, according to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah, who posted the update on X. As per the order issued yesterday, the Cabinet discussed the matter after preliminary details of the tragedy emerged, and the investigation against the three organisations involved has been handed over to the CID.Published on June 5, 2025 Earlier today, the BJP criticised the state government and demanded the resignation of Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and Deputy CM D.K. Shivakumar. Karnataka BJP President B.Y. Vijayendra called the celebration “inhumane” and held the state government fully responsible for the tragedy. “The lack of anticipation for lakhs of people is an admission of failure on their part. The CM tried to escape accountability by saying the stampede only occurred at Chinnaswamy Stadium,” he said.

The government has suspended the Police Inspector of Cubbon Park Police Station, the Assistant Commissioner of Police (ACP) of the area, the Central Deputy Commissioner of Police (DCP), the Additional Police Commissioner in charge of the stadium, and the Bengaluru City Police Commissioner, with immediate effect.

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